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The Newz Express

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Southeast Asia’s AI ambitions tested by power, water, and competition

AI

Southeast Asia is entering a new era in artificial intelligence, with countries across the region making aggressive moves to establish themselves as vital players in the AI economy. While the promise of ‘AI cities’ and digital transformation dominates regional discourse, the underlying competition is defined less by headlines and more by the practical realities of energy, water, and policy.

Regional context: Southeast Asia’s digital transformation gathers pace

The AI revolution is not just a technological phenomenon; it is reshaping the economic landscape of ASEAN. While global AI infrastructure spending is led by the United States, with hyperscale data centre investments exceeding a trillion dollars since 2022 (Asia Times), Southeast Asia is now seeing its own digital infrastructure boom. The region’s data centre ambitions have soared as governments and firms recognise the need to support AI’s massive computational demands. Yet, as AI applications—from generative chatbots to sophisticated surveillance—become ubiquitous, the physical infrastructure powering them is coming under scrutiny.

Crucially, this infrastructure does not exist in an ethereal ‘cloud’ but rather in sprawling data centres that consume enormous amounts of electricity and water. This reality is forcing ASEAN nations to confront pressing questions: who can provide reliable, sustainable resources, and who can turn infrastructure investments into lasting competitive advantage?

Singapore sets the benchmark, but shifts its focus

Singapore has long been the regional leader in data centre development, with more than 70 facilities and nearly 1.4 gigawatts of capacity, according to Asia Times. Yet, a moratorium on new data centre construction, imposed in 2019 and partially relaxed in 2022, forced many investors to consider alternatives. By capping data centre load at around 12 per cent of the national grid, Singapore has positioned itself as a premium, efficiency-focused market, rather than a volume leader.

Construction costs in Singapore have soared, ranking among the highest globally. In response, the city-state has shifted its strategy—prioritising green energy sources and governance. Recent policy moves, such as the December 2025 Call for Applications for 200 megawatts (half from green power) and the development of a 700-megawatt low-carbon park on Jurong Island, indicate Singapore’s pivot to quality and sustainability over sheer scale.
Malaysia and Thailand emerge as major challengers

Singapore’s selective approach has redirected significant demand to neighbouring countries, notably Malaysia’s Johor region. Once seen as a spillover market, Johor is now asserting its own identity. JLL projects that Malaysia’s data centre capacity will more than double by the end of 2026, with a 70 per cent compound annual growth rate. Cushman & Wakefield reports that Malaysia and Thailand together supplied nearly two-thirds of all new Asia-Pacific data centre capacity in early 2025.

However, this rapid expansion is not without its challenges. In February 2026, protests erupted in Gelang Patah, Johor, over concerns about water usage at a data centre construction site—a stark reminder that access to essential resources can quickly become a flashpoint. As data centres require vast volumes of water for cooling, ensuring sustainability is now as crucial as securing investment.

Thailand’s ambitions are equally bold. The nation’s Board of Investment (BOI) reported over 1 trillion baht (approximately $30.7 billion) in investment applications in early 2026, with the digital sector accounting for a significant share. The real story, however, lies in the companies leading the charge. Gulf Development, the country’s largest private power producer, has committed up to 140 billion baht over five years to boost data centre capacity, partnering with global giants such as Google, Microsoft, and a Singtel-AIS venture. Google alone is investing $1 billion in a Bangkok cloud region. In the world of AI infrastructure, ‘firm power’—the guarantee of reliable electricity—is now the most valuable asset, giving established power producers like Gulf Development a unique edge.

CBRE ranks Thailand alongside Indonesia as a high-growth destination, with major campuses in the Eastern Economic Corridor scaling beyond 300 megawatts. Yet, Thailand faces its own hurdles: project approvals from the BOI do not always translate into operational facilities, and the country still grapples with power readiness and a shortage of skilled operators.

Indonesia: Sovereignty and scale in the spotlight

Indonesia represents perhaps the most intriguing case, where the drive for scale meets an assertive push for technological sovereignty. Microsoft has pledged $1.7 billion to Indonesian AI initiatives, while Nvidia is involved in a venture in Solo. Notably, RangeIDC, a Shenzhen-listed operator, is investing $5 billion in a Batam data centre campus—its first overseas project—leveraging Batam’s proximity to Singapore for low-latency connectivity.

At the same time, Indonesia is fostering homegrown AI capabilities, with initiatives such as GPU Merdeka and Sahabat-AI aiming to create sovereign, local-language AI models. The convergence of Chinese capital, American technology, and Indonesian policies makes the country a bellwether for how ASEAN nations might balance foreign investment and domestic control.

Philippines and Vietnam: Potential and policy shape future prospects

The Philippines, often overlooked in regional analyses, is making deliberate moves to strengthen its AI infrastructure. ABB has delivered the VITRO Santa Rosa site in Laguna, billed as the country’s first AI-ready hyperscale data centre. Companies like ePLDT, STT GDC, and Digital Edge are also investing. Nevertheless, high power costs—around $154 per megawatt-hour, second only to Singapore—and grid reliability concerns have tempered enthusiasm. Still, the Philippines offers significant advantages: land availability, robust connectivity, and an English-speaking workforce.

Vietnam, meanwhile, is gaining attention for its regulatory approach. Hanoi now allows wholly foreign-owned data centres, attracting over $7 billion in AI data centre commitments before enacting its national AI law in March. STT VNG has launched its second hyperscale facility in Ho Chi Minh City, and Nvidia has established a research centre and acquired a local AI unit. Yet, US export controls on advanced chips have lengthened procurement times and increased costs, creating a divide between operators with offshore access to hardware and those reliant on local supply.

The fundamentals: Power, water, and geopolitical balancing

Beneath the surface, Southeast Asia’s AI race is not merely about building the most advanced data centres or attracting the largest foreign investors. The real competition lies in the ability to guarantee stable, increasingly green electricity, manage water resources in the face of growing public scrutiny, and maintain a delicate balance between American technology and Chinese capital.

Aggregate data centre capacity in Southeast Asia may well triple by 2030, but the region remains fragmented, with each nation pursuing its own path and priorities. As Chris Taylor, senior risk consultant at Access Asia Group, observed in Asia Times, the ultimate test will be whether ASEAN can deliver on the promise of AI without being beholden to external powers or undermined by local resource constraints.

Implications for India and the wider region

For India, Southeast Asia’s AI infrastructure boom offers both lessons and opportunities. As Indian states explore new data centre projects and partnerships with global AI firms, the ASEAN experience underscores the importance of sustainable resource management, policy flexibility, and the strategic use of public-private partnerships. India’s own ambitions to become an AI powerhouse will depend on its ability to learn from neighbourly successes and setbacks—particularly as competition for talent and investment sharpens across Asia.

Looking ahead: Who will lead Southeast Asia’s AI future?

As the region’s data centre ambitions accelerate, the winners will not be determined by investment alone. Rather, success will hinge on balancing resource constraints, responding to public concerns, and navigating the complex geopolitics of technology. ASEAN’s AI race is officially underway, but the finish line will be defined by resilience, not just speed.

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